With over seven weeks to go before the October election, Justin Trudeau’s Liberals are trailing the Conservatives in the polls of Andrew Scheer. Their odds of winning re-election are better than a coin-flip.
But a month ago, the Liberals have been in a strong position to secure a second term.
Things can change rapidly in public view, especially when a controversy such as the affair blows up. Between now and Oct. 21, when Canadians are scheduled to visit the polls, voting intentions are likely to change again. And again.
The CBC’s Canada Poll Tracker will follow the ups and downs of public opinion through to election day. The Poll Tracker is an aggregation of all polls which weights every questionnaire by date, sample size and pollster history. (Complete methodology here.)
A polling has been taken by aNALYSISLiberals – however, Trudeau’s taken a one
Poll Tracker: Conservatives lead over Liberals slips to 3 points Over 150 polls were published in the run-up into the 2015 election. The Poll Tracker boils those different surveys down into a set of numbers that may be monitored over time.
That consensus now gives the lead to the Conservatives — their first lead in the polls because the prime minister trip to India over one year.